China is forecast to spend roughly $1 trillion over
the next decade buying up foreign assets, including about $15 billion to
$20 billion a year on U.S. investments, according to the Kiplinger
Letter.
But what, exactly, are Chinese firms buying?
Kiplinger offers its best guess as to which sectors will be targeted, based on recent acquisitions:
1) Energy: With China relying on imported energy, it may seek assets
here. Kiplinger cites state-owned Sinochem’s $1.7 billion purchase for a
share of Texas shale formations owned by Pioneer Natural Resources
Co.
PXD
2) Financial Services: Some Chinese interests may look for purchases
that offer U.S. financial expertise, “as the Asian giant prepares for
the more open financial markets that will come with a consumer economy,”
the investment letter said.
3) Food Production: Here, the main impetus is securing food supplies
not tainted with the litany of food-safety scandals that plague the
Chinese market. Case in point: Shuanghui Group’s $4.8 billion deal for
Smithfield Foods Inc. (Read Craig Stephen’s column of China’s food-safety ambitions.)
4) Real Estate: While the appetite for U.S. property among individual
Chinese investors is well known, Kiplinger also sees more purchases
ahead in the commercial real-estate space, along the lines of Fosun
International Ltd.
HK:656
snagging One Chase Manhattan Plaza, or the Chinese consortium which bought the General Motors building, also in New York.
5) Manufacturing: This front involves China seeking “to hang on to
work that is, in some cases, moving back to the U.S.,” according to
Kiplinger, citing a recent investment in a U.S. auto-parts plant by
Chinese firm Yanfeng USA.
— Michael Kitchen http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/2013/10/28/what-will-china-buy-beijing-goes-shopping-in-u-s/
Follow Michael on Twitter at @KitchenNews
Follow The Tell @thetellblog
* In April 2009, CNPC formed a joint venture with
Kazmunaigas, the state oil company of the energy-rich Central Asian
state of Kazakhistan, to purchase
a Kazakh energy firm, JSC Mangistaumunaigas (MMG), for $3.3 billion.
This was just the latest of a series of deals giving China control over
about one-quarter
of Kazakhstan’s growing oil output. A $5 billion loan-for-oil offer
from China’s Export-Import Bank made this latest deal possible.
* In October 2009, a consortium led by CNPC and the oil heavyweight BP won a contract
to develop the Rumaila oil field in Iraq, potentially one of the
world’s biggest oil reservoirs in a country with the third largest
reserves on the planet. Under this agreement, the consortium will
invest $15 billion to boost Rumaila’s daily yield from 1.1 to 2.8
million barrels, doubling Iraq’s net output. CNPC holds a 37% share in
the consortium; BP, 38%; and the Iraqi government, the remaining 25%.
If the consortium succeeds, China will have access to one of the world’s
most-promising future sources of petroleum and a base for further
participation in Iraq’s underdeveloped oil industry.
* In November 2009, Sinopec teamed up
with Ecuador’s state-owned Petroecuador in a 40:60 joint venture (with
Petroecuador holding the larger share) to develop two oil fields in
Ecuador’s eastern Pastaza Province. Sinopec is already a major producer
in Ecuador, having joined with CNPC to acquire the Ecuadorian energy
assets of Canada’s EnCana Corp. in 2005 for $1.4 billion.
* In December 2009, CNPC acquired
a share of the Boyaca 3 oil block in the Orinoco Belt, a large deposit
of extra-heavy oil in eastern Venezuela. In that month, CNOOC formed a
joint venture with the state-owned company Petróleos de Venezuela S.A.
to develop the Junin 8 block in the same region. These moves are seen
as part of a strategic effort by Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez to
increase his country’s oil exports to China and reduce its reliance on
sales to the U.S. market.
* That same December, CNPC signed
an agreement with the government of Myanmar (Burma) to build and
operate an oil pipeline that will run from Maday Island in the western
part of that country to Ruili, in the southwestern Chinese province of
Yunnan. The 460-mile pipeline will permit China-bound tankers from
Africa and the Middle East to unload their cargo in Myanmar on the
Indian Ocean, thereby avoiding the long voyage to China’s eastern coast
via the Strait of Malacca and the South China Sea, areas significantly
dominated by the U.S. Navy.
* In March 2010, CNOOC International announced
plans to buy 50% of Bridas Corp., a private Argentinean energy firm
with oil and gas operations in Argentina, Bolivia, and Chile. CNOOC
will pay $3.1 billion for its share of Bridas, which is owned by the
family of Argentinean magnate Carlos Bulgheroni.
* In March, PetroChina joined oil major Shell to acquire
Arrow Energy, a major Australian supplier of natural gas derived from
coal-bed methane. The two companies are paying about $1.6 billion each
and will form a 50:50 joint venture to operate Arrow’s holdings.
And
that’s only in the energy field. Chinese mining and metals firms have
been scouring the world for promising reserves of iron, copper, bauxite,
and other key industrial minerals. In March, for example, Aluminum
Corp. of China, or Chinalco, acquired
a 44.65% stake in the Simandou iron-ore project in the African country
of Guinea. Chinalco will pay Anglo-Australian mining giant Rio Tinto
Ltd. $1.35 billion for this share. Keep in mind that Chinalco already
owns a 9.3% stake in Rio Tinto, and has been prevented from acquiring a
larger share mainly thanks to Australian fears that China is absorbing
too much of the country’s energy and minerals industries.
Shifting the World’s Resource Balance
Chinese
companies like CNPC, Sinopec, and Chinalco are hardly alone in seeking
control of valuable foreign resource assets. Major Western firms as
well as state-owned companies in India, Russia, Brazil, and other
countries have also been shopping for such properties. Few, however,
have been as determined or single-minded as Chinese firms in taking
advantage of the relatively low prices that followed the global
recession, and few have the sort of deep pockets available to such
companies, thanks to the willingness of the China Development Bank and
other government agencies to offer munificent financial backing.
When
the United States and other Western nations finally recover from the
Great Recession, therefore, they will discover that the global resource
chessboard has been tilted strongly in China’s favor. Energy and
mineral producers that once directed their production -- and often their
political allegiance -- to the U.S., Japan, and Western Europe now view
China as a major customer and patron. In one eye-catching sign of this
shift, Saudi Arabia announced recently that it had sold more oil to
China last year than to the United States, previously its largest and
most pampered customer. “We believe this is a long-term transition,” said
Khalid A. al-Falih, president and chief executive of Saudi Aramco, the
state-owned oil giant. “Demographic and economic trends are making it
clear -- the writing is on the wall. China is the growth market for
petroleum.”
For now, Chinese leaders are avoiding any hint that
their recent foreign resource acquisitions entail political or military
commitments that could produce friction with the United States or other
Western powers. These are just commercial transactions, they insist.
There is, however, no escaping the fact that growing Chinese resource
ties with countries like Angola, Australia, Brazil, Iran, Kazakhstan,
Saudi Arabia, Sudan, and Venezuela have geopolitical implications that
are unlikely to be ignored in Washington, London, Paris, and Tokyo.
Perhaps more than any other recent developments, China’s global shopping
spree reveals how the world’s balance of power is shifting from West to
East.
Michael Klare is a professor of peace and
world security studies at Hampshire College in Amherst, Mass., and the
author, most recently, of Rising Powers, Shrinking Planet. A documentary movie version of his previous book, Blood and Oil, is available from the Media Education Foundation.
Copyright 2010 Michael T. Klare http://www.resilience.org/stories/2010-04-01/chinas-global-shopping-spree
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